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Artificial intelligence for predicting long-term outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer (a systematic review and meta-analysis)

https://doi.org/10.33878/2073-7556-2025-24-4-125-137

Abstract

AIM: to evaluate  the performance of artificial-intelligence algorithms in predicting long-term treatment outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer using clinical data alone to evaluate the performance of artificial-intelligence algorithms in predicting long-term treatment outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) using clinical data alone.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: a systematic search (2015–2024) was conducted in PubMed, Science Direct, MedRxiv, BioRxiv and Google Scholar. Original studies that applied machine-learning or deep-learning techniques exclusively to clinical variables for predicting CRC recurrence were included. Of 657106 records screened, 43 met the eligibility criteria; 12 were entered into a meta-analysis. Pooled area under the ROC curve (AUC), heterogeneity metrics (I², τ², Q-test), publication bias and sensitivity were assessed. Robustness was examined with a leave-one-out analysis.

RESULTS: a systematic search (2015–2024) in PubMed, Science Direct, MedRxiv, BioRxiv and Google Scholar. Original studies that applied machine-learning or deep-learning techniques exclusively to clinical variables for predicting CRC recurrence were included. Of 657106 records screened, 43 met the eligibility criteria; 12 were entered into a meta-analysis. Pooled area under the ROC curve (AUC), heterogeneity metrics (I², τ², Q-test), publication bias and sensitivity were assessed. Robustness was examined with a leave-one-out analysis.

CONCLUSION: AI models show promising accuracy in predicting colorectal cancer recurrence, supporting their potential utility in clinical decision-making. Nevertheless, further validation in large-scale, prospective studies is required before widespread clinical implementation.

About the Authors

R. Sh. Abdulaeva
N.N. Blokhin National Medical Research Center of Oncology
Russian Federation

Rukiyat Sh. Abdulaeva

Kashirskoye shosse, 23, Moscow, 115522



V. I. Pavlova
N.N. Blokhin National Medical Research Center of Oncology; Tyumen State Medical University
Russian Federation

Valeria I. Pavlova

Kashirskoye shosse, 23, Moscow, 115522; Odesskaya Street, 54, Tyumen, 625023



T. G. Gevorkyan
N.N. Blokhin National Medical Research Center of Oncology
Russian Federation

Tigran G. Gevorkyan

Kashirskoye shosse, 23, Moscow, 115522



Y. V. Belenkaya
N.N. Blokhin National Medical Research Center of Oncology
Russian Federation

Yana V. Belenkaya

Kashirskoye shosse, 23, Moscow, 115522



M. Sh. Manukyan
N.N. Blokhin National Medical Research Center of Oncology
Russian Federation

Mariam Sh. Manukyan

Kashirskoye shosse, 23, Moscow, 115522



S. S. Gordeev
N.N. Blokhin National Medical Research Center of Oncology; Tyumen State Medical University
Russian Federation

Sergey S. Gordeev

Kashirskoye shosse, 23, Moscow, 115522; Odesskaya Street, 54, Tyumen, 625023



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Review

For citations:


Abdulaeva R.Sh., Pavlova V.I., Gevorkyan T.G., Belenkaya Y.V., Manukyan M.Sh., Gordeev S.S. Artificial intelligence for predicting long-term outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer (a systematic review and meta-analysis). Koloproktologia. 2025;24(4):125-137. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.33878/2073-7556-2025-24-4-125-137

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ISSN 2073-7556 (Print)
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